The
New Europe: Election Observation
Albania
remains a volatile society - but the signs so far suggest
a much calmer response to the results - victory for the governing
Socialists - than during the previous two elections, in 1996
and 97, when there were violent incidents.
On
the first of those occasions the Socialists accused President
Sali Berisha of large-scale ballot-rigging. And international
monitors, despatched by the European security organisation,
the OSCE, published one of their most critical reports. Their
conclusions angered Mr Berisha, but he fell from power after
a popular uprising against his administration in 1997; and
since then the Socialists have welcomed the OSCE with open
arms.
This time around the OSCE sent some 250 observers to Albania
to watch that everything was going well. During the first
round of voting on 24 June, I caught up with two of the observers
- Sonja Kurten-Vartio from Finland and Cecile Ritter
from Luxembourg - in the port city of Durres, and began by
asking them what they are looking out for:
"That there are no signs of cheating, that people are not
getting two ballots, that people are getting this ink on their
thumbs..." "And they check also their identification..." "and
that the whole procedure - that it looks like it goes right…"
How many hours do you expect to work? What time do you start,
what time will you finish? "Well, we left half past six in
the morning and I guess maybe we'll ready at two or three
o'clock in the morning." So you think it's a worthwhile effort?
"Yes, for sure. Yes, with a lot of coffee it should do."
These two observers with their checklists of 40 questions
for each of the ten or dozen polling stations they visit,
are just part of a vast logistical operation that's organised
at each election on behalf of the OSCE by its specialist institution,
the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights. Known
by its acronym as ODIHR, the Warsaw-based office with a staff
of 50, is a relatively little-known organisation outside European
government circles. But how does it see its role?
A
promotional video, produced for the OSCE, sets out its
objectives:
"The Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights
is mandated to ensure full respect for human rights, fundamental
freedoms and the rule of law. It works to build, strenghten
and protect democratic institutions as well as to promote
tolerance throughout society."
But can ODIHR fulfil its task as a provider of independent
election monitoring, given the fact that it's a creature of
the OSCE - an organisation in which 55 countries from Europe,
North America and the former Soviet republics do their best
to pursue their own interests.
In the past it's been alleged that OSCE observers were too
lenient towards the Montengrin President, Milo Djukanovic,
after he had turned against the former Yugoslav strongman,
Slobodan Milosevic. ODIHR's Director, Swiss diplomat, Gerard
Stoudmann, is certainly aware of this and other problems:
"These kind of examples are in the background very often,
or between the lines, but they are never very direct. You'll
find a certain situation where a certain state has a very
specific agenda and, therefore, have a tendency to - or expecting
us - to be extremely tough or, on the contrary, extremely
understanding. And what I am striving for is to keep a distance
from double standards, as much as possible, to maintain therefore
the consistency and credibility of the organisation, in particular
in the electoral field."
For his part, President Djukanovic argues that his
opponents' complaints are part of what he calls "the Balkan
syndrome" a refusal to accept defeat. He believes the idea
that the OSCE supported him just to weaken Mr Milosevic doesn't
make sense - after all, the Montenegrin parliamentary elections
in Apil - which came after the end of the Milosevic era -
were also endorsed by the OSCE's observers:
"Everyone who loses at the elections thinks that injustice
has been done to them. Probably this kind of political comedy
happens only in the Balkans. What is very important for us
are the very high standards of critics from the international
community - mostly from the OSCE. We had an election process
that was very closely supervised, and at the end of this process
the OSCE and other elections observers said that the election
process had been regular."
ODIHR's chief election observer, Hrair Balian - a US-trained
lawyer originally from Lebanon - believes the strongest guarantee
of independence and impartiality is the set of criteria that's
been developed - albeit relatively recently:
"Up
until 1997 our observation had no set methodology. We invented
the wheel every time we despatched an observation mission.
As a result, there were ad hoc responses to developing events,
developing situations. This made the organisation susceptible
to political pressure. In 1997, as a result of these difficulties
a methodology was developed and I think I can comfortably
say that since 1997 we have not experienced this difficulty
of making political statements, rather than calling black
as black and white as white."
But are there universal standards that can be applied in every
case? And isn't there a danger that election observers - whether
from the OSCE or elsewhere - are imposing Western values on
the former communist East? Joseph Middleton is a British
lawyer who's suggested improvements to election laws in 15
countries from Albania to Uzbekistan. He's convinced that
good legislation transcends the divisions between the new
and the more mature democracies:
"One
should emphasize - I would emphasize - that I am generally
not involved in comparing elections East and West. I don't
consciously - and I hope neither unconsciously - try to import
Western standards into former socialist countries. What I
am trying to do is I take as a starting point two things -
first of all the OSCE commitments, the commitments that that
particular country embraced voluntarily over 10 years and
secondly I start with their own legislation. And I say this
is the law, these are the commitments, do the two match up?"
But if universal standards are applied, wouldn't it make sense
to make election observation a two-way process? In other words,
shouldn't observers from the former communist countries help
oversee elections in the West? It's a question I put to a
Kosovar Serb official, Rada Trajkovic, who was part
of a group of politicians from central and south-east Europe
to visit Britain during the British elections in early June:
"Taking
into consideration what kind of background I come from, I
can't say that I am the person to judge and I can really help
you with this. The first thing I asked was 'Can you rig the
elections here?' Since I had an experience with Milosevic
who was always rigging the elections quite a lot."
A
prominent Kosovar Albanian politician, Edita Tahiri,
had fewer reservations:
"In the trends of globalisation I am sure it would be very
good to interact also in this level. Why not have observers?
I think always there should be a tendency for perfection,
including Great Britain. So, I think it would be very good."
During last year's controversy over the Florida vote in the
American presidential elections an Italian newspaper carried
a cartoon showing a group of people, wearing traditional Serb
dress, landing at an airport. The caption read: "Serb observers
arriving in Washington".For the moment, though, the idea of
formal OSCE election monitoring in the West - something Russia
has repeatedly suggested - remains in the realm of speculation.
Why? Gerard Stoudmann:
"Certainly, it's true to say that no electoral system is
perfect and no elections are perfect. We have a recent example
of this. However, there's a substantial and fundamental qualitative
difference in the sense that most countries with established
democracies have an internal system of checks and balances
so they have the means, they have the arsenal to deal with
problems that occur nationally. What we are trying to achieve
in most countries where we work is precisely to develop an
internal mechanism - a checks and balances mechanism - which
would allow one day the international community not to observe
any more."
If not being observed is a sign of achievement, then refusing
to be observed can be seen as a mark of desperation. But that's
precisely what Belarus is about to do by barring OSCE monitors
from September's presidential elections - the first time any
OSCE member has done this since the collapse of communism.
President Lukashenka - already ostracised by much of the West
for his authoritarian leadership - is clearly not concerned
by further criticism over this move. But what about other,
similarly less-than-democratic leaders? How do they deal,
for example, with Joseph Middleton's recommendations
for improving their election laws:
"The reaction that we get to these reports varies enormously.
Sometimes it's openly hostile, sometimes it's ostensibly welcoming.
But then, of course one has to see what happens in response
to the recommendations. I think it would be fair to say that
the Central Asian republics, the former Soviet republics of
Kazakhstan, Kirghizstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan
- in all those countries there is still a great deal of work
to be done in terms of responding to recommendations."
The
fact that advice on election laws and other forms of help
is ignored in some countries, raises doubts in some minds,
at least, as to value of the contribution ODIHR and other
similar institutions have made in democracy building. Put
it bluntly, if ODIHR did not exist, would it have made much
of a difference? Hrair Balian has few doubts:
"I think had ODIHR not existed, someone might have invented
some other organisation doing similar work. ODIHR came into
being to fill a gap. I think that without an organisation
such as ODIHR, some of the transitions might have taken longer
to come about during the last 10 years."
Indeed, ODIHR is keen to play up the success stories. Some
of the first converts or returnees to democracy - countries
such as the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland - are no 0longer
subject to formal OSCE election monitoring. They are seen
as being in the first class to have graduated in democracy
after successfully finishing a course in good electoral practice.
So does that mean that the process of democratisation is irreversible
and that, sooner or later, ODIHR will be doing itself out
of business? Gerard Stoudmann doesn't think so and
he points to problems in some of the former Soviet republics,
now known as the CIS:
"No, certainly not. I think we have to distinguish between.
We have really two paces in the transition. One is the central
European states which have to a large extent been success
stories and what is called the CIS where we have, of course,
different cases. That doesn't meant that there's been no progress
- there has been progress in many cases, thank God - there
have been a lot of things developing towards sustainable democracy
over the last 10 years, but at a completely different pace
and with totally different problems. And nowadays what we
are facing there - what I am concerned about - is a further
slowing down and, in some cases, backtracking on what has
been achieved."
The
contrasting developments in central Europe and central Asia
may suggest that what really matters is the domestic background
- national traditions of democracy or their lack - rather
than external influence. However, it would be wrong to dismiss
the contribution of outside help in speeding up positive developments
where these are already underway, and acting as a brake -
in some places, at least - on potential backslidiers. The
OSCE and its institutions remain a kind of reference point
for democracy that virtually all European countries accept
- and many of them are even willing to put into practice.